New England  Philadelphia 

Event Date: 02/04/2018
Event Time: 6 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Patriot Super Bowl wins have come by 3 pts, 3 pts, 3 pts, 5 pts, & 6 pts, with the latter 2 the result of unbelievable play calling by their opponents, in the dying seconds, the first when the Seahawks decided to throw into a crowd on 2nd-&-goal from the 1-foot line in the final half minute, eschewing Marshawn Lynch (pick), & the latter, in last year's blowing of a 28-12 lead in the 4th, by the Falcons, who opted for a pair of deep drop back passes on short yardage situations, after an incredible "game-winning" catch by Julio Jones. The Pats' 2 Super Bowl losses both came vs the Giants, & their brilliant defenses, along with stunning game-winning receptions. Before the loss of franchise QB Carson Wentz, these 2 seemed headed for this meeting. Well, it has unexpectedly come to pass, with Foles under center. Belichick has again built a squad with all the right pieces: Brady, Gronkowski, Amendola, etc. No question that the Patriots are the standard. Best QB & HC in history of the league. Year-after-year. But the Pats could be 7-0 in Super Bowl appearances, but just as easily could be 0-7. The underdog stands at 8-1-1 ATS in this year's NFL Playoffs. I'm calling for the upset. Eagle "D" is the edge

Pick: Philadelphia +4.5


Result: Won
 
New England  Jacksonville 

Event Date: 01/21/2018
Event Time: 3 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

This one marks their 7th straight AFC title game, & not only that, but New England has also won 7 straight home playoff games, with their last host slip up coming in the 2012 title loss to the eventual Super Bowl champ Ravens. Last week, they outscored the hopeful Titans, 35-7 after the first quarter (35 unanswered points). Tom: 35-of-53 for 337 yards, & 3/0 (TDs to INT ratio). By the way, that marked his 10th career postseason game with at least 3 TD tosses, passing Joe Montana for the most in NFL history. He wasn't sacked by the Titans, & rarely hurried, while the Pat "D" set a franchise record with 8 sacks of Tennessee QB Mariota. Have held 11 of their last 13 opponents under 18 points, while currently on a 9-1-1 ATS run.

Pick: New England -7


Result: Loss
 
Philadelphia  Minnesota 

Event Date: 01/21/2018
Event Time: 6 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Philly managed just one lone TD in their upset of the onrushing Falcons, with standing a last-second defeat, via a questionable incompletion on the game's final play. That one snapped a Philly 4-game playoff losing streak, also marking the Eagle's first postseason win, while scoring less than 16 pts. And Philadelphia is also 4-0 as a playoff home dog. Foles last week: 23-of-30, which is huge. The last 8 AFC/NFC title games have been won by the home team. Site cannot be overstated. Eagles!

Pick: Philadelphia +3.5


Result: Won
 
Minnesota  New Orleans 

Event Date: 01/14/2018
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Like Minnesota, New Orleans also changed quite a bit after the season opener as former Vikings great Adrian Peterson was jettisoned to Arizona in favor of the two-pronged attack of Mark Ingram and rookie Alvin Kamara. The potent pair became the first running back duo in league history to gain more than 1,500 yards from scrimmage and helped New Orleans lead the NFL with 4.7 yards per carry and 23 rushing touchdowns. Kamara finished second among running backs in catches with 81 during the regular season, but had just one against the Panthers last weekend. Michael Thomas more than picked up the slack, however, reeling in eight of nine targets for 131 yards in his playoff debut. The Saints are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games and 42-20-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Pick: New Orleans +5


Result: Tie
 
Pittsburgh  Jacksonville 

Event Date: 01/14/2018
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The surprising Jaguars certainly didn't overly impress the folks, with their nail biting win over the Bills. Just 15 FDs, with a lowly 75 PYs from a suddenly unimpressive Bortles. Jags averaged 34.5 ppg 4 games previous to 10 & 10 points in their last 2 outings. Not the best of times to be taking on the steady "D" of the Steelers, although that unit has allowed 23.8 ppg in Pitt's last 6 games. Most notable sidebar here is the Steeler revenge factor, as the Jags picked off Ben 5 times in their first meeting (Oct 8). Obviously, that won't be repeated. Return of WR Brown is key (led NFL in receiving, despite missing 3 games). Pitt 2-5 ATS as chalk of 7+ points. Dog call.

Pick: Jacksonville +7.5


Result: Won
 
Philadelphia  Atlanta 

Event Date: 01/13/2018
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

For the first time ever, a top-seed playoff team has been pegged as the underdog in its opening round. But, with the loss of the Eagles brilliant QB Wentz (33 TD passes; only 7 picks), it was expected, as Philly came from 30.3 ppg in its first 13 games, to just 15.7 ppg in its last 3, with Nick Foles once more the man. So, from a 10-1 start, to 3-2 windup. Quite a gift for the Falcons, who now have more than a legitimate shot at Super Bowl redemption. Check their 37:35-22:25 time edge in upset of the upstart Rams. Ryan not up to last year's standards, but note Philly allowing 7 TD passes in their last 4 games.

Pick: Atlanta  ML-145


Result: Loss
 
New England  Tennessee 

Event Date: 01/13/2018
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Nine straight AFC East titles for the Patriots, who just continue along with their other worldly accomplishments. Brady at yet another outstanding 32/8 (4,577 yards, 66.3%) although he did toss a pick in each of 5 straight games down the stretch. But the Pats always have the answers. Note ranking 29th on "D", but holding 10 of last 12 foes under 18 points, & on an 8-1-1 ATS run. Titans pulled miraculous upset of the Chiefs, after trailing 21-3 at the half. But note that Mariota is just 15/16, while the host has covered to the tune of 10-2-1 in Titan games, including last week's shocker. Of course, the blowout is a distinct possibility, but the almost 2-TD spot is pushing it a bit.

Pick: Tennessee +14


Result: Loss
 
New Orleans  Carolina 

Event Date: 01/07/2018
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The only playoff game pitting arch-rivals from the same division, &, as you can see, the Saints have gotten the better of it, not just this season, but have covered 6 straight vs the Panthers. Note the fav covering 7 of Carolina's last 9 games, while the Saints are on a 7-2 ATS run as less than DD chalks. Cam is at just 22/16 this year, while Drew just keeps on doing it: 29/10 & another 4,332 passing yards. Lay the points.

Pick: New Orleans -6.5


Result: Loss
 
Jacksonville  Buffalo 

Event Date: 01/07/2018
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

First playoff game for the Bills since the "Music City Miracle", when Buffalo was the victim of a controversial windup loss to the Titans on Jan 8, 2000. The Jags had a combined record of 22-74 from '11-'16, before HC Marrone's arrival, who had the same job with Bills in '13 & '14. First playoff game for Bortles (3,687 yards, 21/13), but Buffalo RB McCoy is limping (ankle). Seems the spread is just a tad too much.

Pick: Buffalo +9


Result: Won
 
Kansas City  Tennessee 

Event Date: 01/06/2018
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The streaky Chiefs are clicking at just the right time. The SU winner has covered all 16 of KC games: runs of 5-0, to 1-6, to 4-0. Their stat edges are hardly all that impressive, although Smith has become an study in efficiency (67.5 & 6/5), with Hunt leading the NFL in rushing. And note KC ranking 2nd in all-important TO ratio. The host has covered to the tune of 11-1-1 in Tennessee tilts, & with this the Titans' 1st playoff games in 9 years, accompanied by current 14-23-1 ATS run, it's the Chiefs.

Pick: Kansas City -8


Result: Loss
 
Los Angeles  Atlanta 

Event Date: 01/06/2018
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Atlanta won six of its last eight, with the only two losses coming against division winners Minnesota and New Orleans, but Matt Ryan had only five touchdown passes versus four interceptions in the final six games. He still has one of the league's most dangerous targets in Julio Jones, who caught 88 passes and eclipsed 1,400 yards (1,444) for the fourth straight season. The Falcons also feature the backfield tandem of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman, who rushed for a combined 1,493 yards and 12 touchdowns while adding 63 receptions and four scores. Atlanta surrendered 19.7 points per game and allowed only one 100-yard rusher.

Pick: Atlanta +6


Result: Won
 
Detroit  Green Bay 

Event Date: 12/31/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

It seems difficult to believe that the Lions are again on the outside, looking in, playoff-wise. Especially with the season that Stafford has had, 26 TD passes & just 10 picks, along with 4,123 PYs. So, as the highest paid player in NFL history, he has exactly zero playoff wins. They are 3-4 at home this season, but note the favorite covering to the tune of 7-1-2 in Detroit's last 10 games. For the Packers, they weren't shutout in 158 games, with Rodgers, but have been blanked twice since Hundley took over starting job 8 games ago. Visitor is 7-2 ATS in Green Bay games, but Lions in a romp

Pick: Detroit -7


Result: Won
 
Minnesota  Chicago 

Event Date: 12/31/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Vikings have been "money", with yet another spread streak, covering 9 of their last 10 outings, doing it both offensively, behind the leadership of Keenum, who had thrown for 3,497 yards, 67%, with 22 TD tosses & just 7 picks, as well as defensively, with a "D" that has held 10-of-13 foes below 18 points. Left a frigid Lambeau Field with its first shutout win since a 13-0 effort over the Lions on Dec 5, 1993. And it was their first blanking of the Packers since '71. The Bears field 8th best "D" in the NFL, but 30th-ranked "O", that won't dent the Vikings in this

Pick: Minnesota -11.5


Result: Won
 
Tampa Bay  New Orleans 

Event Date: 12/31/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Saints have been brilliantly steady since their 0-2 start, averaging 28.6 ppg in their last 13 games. Brees is the fastest player to reach 70,000 career passing yds (248 games: Peyton did it in 258 games). N'awlins clinched a playoff spot with that win over Atlanta, which was its biggest win in 4 years, & will take their division with another here. No, it doesn't happen too often, but this one pits the best offense in the NFL (Saints), vs its worst defense (Bucs). Tampa's Winston threw for 367 yds & a TD vs the Panthers last week, but was sacked six times, & fumbled 3 times. Saints call.

Pick: New Orleans -5


Result: Loss
 
Tennessee  Jacksonville 

Event Date: 12/31/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Jags have nailed down AFC South title, despite Bortles a horrid 3 interceptions, vs the Niners, one a pick-six. That after a 3-week run without a pick the best stretch of his career. However, he did throw for 382 yards & 2 TDs. And note Jacksonville allowing a TD in their first possessions of the game, for the 1st time this year. Check it out. Five losses for the Jags, with every one of their first 4 being followed by blowout wins: 44-7, 30-9, 27-0, & 30-10. Titans have a bit of a shot at a Wild Card insertion, with a win here, coupled with losses for both the Bills & Chargers. But won't take this.

Pick: Jacksonville +3


Result: Loss
 
Baltimore  Cincinnati 

Event Date: 12/31/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Neither of these teams is dependable. Bengals made the Seahawk faithful ecstatic with their upset over the Lions, coming from 8 FDs in blowout loss to Minnesota, to a 28-15 FD edge vs Detroit. But can they do the same for the Bills this week? Ravens will clinch with a win here, which will represent their first sweep of Cincinnati since '12, the year that they won the Super Bowl. Have now won 5-of-6, after opening at 4-5. Flacco 29-of-38 vs Colts, & 7/1 over last 4 games. Even if Baltimore loses here, they'll get one of the two Wild Card spots, if either the Bills or Titans fall. Ravens in a rare rout

Pick: Baltimore -9.5


Result: Loss
 
Philadelphia  Oakland 

Event Date: 12/25/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Last of our 3 Super Bowl rematches (SB XV: 27-10 Raiders). If you discount the Donovan McNabb era, the Eagles have won exactly two playoff games since the Raiders destroyed the birds. For Philly, Foles is doing it again, clicking on 24-of-38 for 237 yards & 4 TDs (no picks). Have to hand it to this franchise for getting him back, but that "D" has allowed 29.3 points per game the last 3 weeks. Raiders are on a 1-7-2 ATS run on the road, & have topped 17 points in only 4 of their last 12 games. Eagles soar again.

Pick: Philadelphia -10


Result: Loss
 
Kansas City  Miami 

Event Date: 12/24/2017
Event Time: 10 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Let's see. A division sandwich for both teams (Buffalo sandwich for Dolphins). The Chiefs have shaken their previous trend in which the visitor was king, as the host is now on a 7-1 ATS run in KC games. They seem to have recaptured their early season brilliance (5-0 start), & have now taken control of the AFC West with LW's convincing rout of the red hot Chargers. Smith: another 2/0, so now at superb 25/5, while Hunt chipped in with 155 yards. Miami has a 144-54 pt deficit in its last 4 RGs. It continues.

Pick: Kansas City -10


Result: Won
 
Dallas  Seattle 

Event Date: 12/24/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

He's back. The Cowboys have turned it all around, with 3 straight wins (+42½ pts ATS), following their futility in their first 3 games without Elliott (7, 9, 6 pts), thereby keeping their postseason dreams alive & well. Remember, they covered their last HG by 24 pts. Seahawks are in off their worst loss in Pete Carroll's eight seasons. Completely dominated from the opening whistle vs the Rams. Wilson: just 14-of-30, with 7 sacks. The 'Boys are 8-1 ATS off a pair of wins vs a non-division opponent. It's Dallas.

Pick: Dallas -4.5


Result: Loss
 
San Francisco  Jacksonville 

Event Date: 12/24/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Jags in off their 7th win in last 8 outings, thereby clinching a post-season spot for the first time since 2007. They were an NFL-worst 22-74 over the previous 6 years. Check Bortles with a season-high 326 yards & the best QB rating (143.6) of his career, in rout of the Texans. He is 7/0 over the last 3 years. And note the Jaguar "D" holding 8 foes to 10 points or less. Three straight wins for the Niners, but just 1 TD (6 FGs) in win over the Titans. Garoppolo a career-high 381 yards. But going gets tougher

Pick: Jacksonville -4


Result: Loss
 
Cincinnati  Detroit 

Event Date: 12/24/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Well, that's it for Marvin Lewis. He never won a playoff game, as this year's Cincy squad is sinking fast, with 33-7, 34-7 losses in their last 2 games. Dalton last week: 11-of-22 for 113 yards. Bengals didn't cross midfield vs Minny until the final 3 minutes of the 3rd. Lions need 'em all to have a shot at landing a Wild Card slot. No TOs for Stafford in win over the Bears He has thrown for 3,920 yards, along with 25 TDs, & only 9 picks, & the chalk is on a 7-0-2 ATS run in Detroit games. No other way here.

Pick: Detroit -3


Result: Loss
 
Los Angeles  Dallas 

Event Date: 12/17/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Both of these squads are fighting for their playoff lives. Dak was splendid in the 'Boys' rout of the Giants. He was 20-of-30, for 332 yards with 3 touchdowns and no interceptions and Dallas is a game back in Wild Card chase. Ditto the Raiders, who are a game behind both the Chiefs & Chargers in the AFC West. Oakland was held scoreless until the final 9 minutes of their 26-15 loss to KC (140-yard deficit).

Pick: Dallas -3


Result: Tie
 
Minnesota  Cincinnati 

Event Date: 12/17/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Bengals face their former defensive coordinator, Mike Zimmer, here. Dalton is off a horrible 141 passing yards (1/1), in their embarrassing loss to the 3-win Bears, being more than doubled in first downs & total yards. Cincinnati's worst home drubbing since a 34-3 loss to Baltimore in '08. Minnesota's 8-game winning streak is history, although the Vikings did come back from an 11-point 4th quarter deficit. Minnesota defense has held 8 of its last 11 foes under 18 points.

Pick: Minnesota -11.5


Result: Won
 
Cleveland  Baltimore 

Event Date: 12/17/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Sure, we all know that the Ravens are normally a defensive force (7th in the NFL), but they've sure opened up that offense over the past couple of months, with a 189-98 point edge in their last 6 games. So 38 points & 414 yards vs the Steelers' 3rd-ranked offense, in last week's 39-38 crusher. Can things get any worse for the Browns, who blew a 2-TD 2nd half lead over the Packers, losing in OT? Kizer: 3 TD passes, but a killer OT pick. Cleveland is 3-8 ATS as a home dog of more than 3½ points, & is averaging 11.6 points per game in their last 5 home games

Pick: Baltimore -6.5


Result: Won
 
San Francisco  Tennessee 

Event Date: 12/17/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The 2nd of 3 straight out of conference games for both of these squads. Titans in off holding the Cards without a TD, but still losing. Now find themselves looking up at the Jags in the NFC South, with Mariota tossing more picks than TDs this year (10/14). He was 6-of-16 for 60 yards & 2 picks in the 2nd half of that one. It wasn't all bad for the Titans, as their "D" had 8 sacks vs the Cards. This is a must win for the Titans

Pick: Tennessee +3


Result: Won
 
Seattle  Los Angeles 

Event Date: 12/17/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

This one has huge implications on the NFL West. Last week, after a horrific 3 quarters, Seattle's Wilson again showed his magic in the 4th, with TD tosses of 61 & 74 yards. However, it wasn't enough to stop the up-&-coming Jags, as his 3 picks eventually did them in. Only the 3rd time in his career that has happened. Last week, the Rams put quite a beating on Wentz, in that loss to Philly, even before they knocked him out of the game. Goff: only 199 yards.

Pick: Seattle -1


Result: Loss
 
Kansas City  Los Angeles 

Event Date: 12/16/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

What a game for a national TV audience. The top spot in the NFL West is on the line. Total domination for the red hot Chargers, in their rout of the 'Skins: 24-9 first downs, 174-65 rushing yards, & 488-201 total yard edges. So 4 straight wins for the Bolts, with a 151-53 point edge. Rivers: another 319 passing yards (2 TDs: now 23/7), passing Warren Moon for 9th place on the all-time NFL passing yard list. KC in off snapping 4-game slide. In their last 15 AFC West games, the Chiefs have won 14. But an L.A. call here.

Pick: Los Angeles - Pickem


Result: Loss
 
Miami  New England 

Event Date: 12/11/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

In both '13 & '15, Pats lost here late in the year, to relinquish home field to the Broncos. Both of those seasons ended with the Patriots losing the AFC title game in Mile High. Will history repeat, as they battle Steelers for home field advantage? Nope. Eight straight wins for New England, holding all 8 opponents below 18 pts. Contrast that to Miami in off snapping 5-game losing streak (allowing 34.2 ppg in that run). Pats took Dolphins, 35-14 here last year, as well as winning 35-17 in their earlier '17 meeting. Once again.

Pick: New England -10


Result: Loss
 
New York  Dallas 

Event Date: 12/10/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating; 2 Units

Hard to believe that this one may end up being meaningless in the NFC playoff race (notice time change). Will Eli get the start, after seeing his streak of 210 games end last week, to Geno Smith, of all people. Cowboys got their first win without Zeke on Thursday night behind Morris' 127 RYs, & Dak got his first TD pass since Nov 5th, but still just 102 passing yards. And Dez broke Bob Hayes' club record for TD grabs (74). Dallas is 3-11 ATS as a division road favorite off a double digit SU win, vs an opponent off a SU setback

Pick: New York +4


Result: Loss
 
Cleveland  Green Bay 

Event Date: 12/10/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating; 2 Units

Another one of those "old school" classic NFL match ups: Brown, Hornung, Lombardi, etc. Well, you might know. Just 10 points for the Browns at the Chargers, but still managed to cover (to our dismay) a 2-touchdown spot vs a team which had scored 82 points in its previous 2 outings. Two more turnovers, so Cleveland leads the NFL (-19) in the all-important category.

Pick: Green Bay -3


Result: Won
 
Denver  New York 

Event Date: 12/10/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

It just continues to amaze. How the Broncos could come from Super Bowl winners, to their current state is nearly impossible to grasp. An absolutely astounding 0-8 SU & ATS slide with a deficit of 241-108 points. I keep rewriting it, but it just extends their worst run in 50 years. Last week, they managed 9 points vs a Dolphin team that gave up 205 points in their prior 6 games (34.2 ppg). A 3-game stranglehold on the cellar of the AFC West. The Jets are in off posting 30 first downs & a time edge of 42:49-17:11 in win over Kansas City

Pick: New York -1


Result: Loss
 
Carolina  Minnesota 

Event Date: 12/10/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

These 2 might end up playing each other in January. This is the last of a brutal 3-game road trip for Minnesota, who just keep on winning, with their current SU run now at 8-0, with accompanying 7-1 ATS mark (only miss by ½ pt). Keenum in off yet another fine performance: 25-of-30, in throttling of the Falcons, allowing no touchdowns. Panthers covered their last home game by 16 points, but note the visitor is on an 11-4 ATS run in Carolina games.

Pick: Minnesota -2.5


Result: Loss
 
Pittsburgh  Baltimore 

Event Date: 12/10/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

What a great series this has been in the 21st century, having played some classic battles, both in the regular season, & in the playoffs. The Ravens live via their defense (7th), & the TO (1st at +14), as their offense ranks ahead of only Tampa in the NFL. Check a point edge of 150-59 in their last 5 games, with Flacco finally even in TD/INT ratio (11/11). The Steelers are in off their Monday battle with the Bengals, & are the match for Ravens' "D" (4th) but also coming in at 7th on "O". Forget revenge factor.

Pick: Pittsburgh -4.5


Result: Loss
 
Atlanta  New Orleans 

Event Date: 12/07/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

This is the beginning of some huge match ups in the NFL this weekend. Back in the '90's, taking the road team in this series was gold. Falcons came from averaging 33 points per game in previous 3 outings, to just 3 field goals in 14-9 loss to Minnesota. First time since in 2 years that the Falcons went without a TD, & Ryan's 30-game run with at least 1 TD pass, is now history. Saints 1-game up on Carolina, with last weeks balanced win (Ingram & Kamara: 145 rushing yards). So New Orleans is now at 31.2 points per game in their last 10 games.

Pick: New Orleans +1


Result: Loss
 
Dallas  Washington 

Event Date: 11/30/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

For the 13th straight year, the NFC East will not have a repeat champion, which is truly amazing. Guess McNabb wasn't so bad after all. Third straight home game for the 'Boys, but little seems to matter, as this team has lost its last 3 games, by a combined score of 90-22 (-61 points ATS) with just 1 touchdown in its last 11 quarters. Check Dak with 5 picks in last 2 games. He threw only 4 a year ago. Another? Okay. Outscored 72-6 in 2nd half of those 3. Redskins a dangerous team, holding Giants to 7 first downs last week. I cannot back "Big D"

Pick: Washington -1.5


Result: Loss
 
San Francisco  Seattle 

Event Date: 11/26/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Hard to believe that only 3 years ago, this may have been the best rivalry in the league. Just goes to show you what a great coach Jim Harbaugh is. For the Niners, the slump is over. They have won. Should have happened weeks ago, but it was nice to see Kyle Shanahan get his first W. Note that Goodwin's 83-yd catch was the longest touchdown for the 49ers, since Kaepernick's 90-yard run 4 years ago. San Francisco is 2-10 ATS vs Seattle, as well as 0-5 ATS off its bye

Pick: Seattle -6.5


Result: Won
 
Kansas City  Buffalo 

Event Date: 11/26/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Many heavy favorites this week. Bills' QB change really worked. Five 1st half picks for Peterman on only 12 passes. Three straight losses for the Bills, who entered with the best turn over ratio in the NFL (+11), before 6-0 deficit vs the Chargers. The Bills' worst defensive half since 1977. Four losses in five games for the Chiefs, with no touchdowns in windswept loss to then 1-8 Giants. However, Kansas City is a perfect 8-0 ATS vs AFC East

Pick: Kansas City -9.5


Result: Loss
 
Atlanta  Tampa Bay 

Event Date: 11/26/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Finally a road win for the Bucs, who had dropped 6 straight as visitors, although their win over Miami's feeble offense (#31) saw Tampa with a 448-321 yard deficit (5-0 turn over edge). And before that one, note that the Bucs had allowed 34, 38, 30, & 30 points in the visiting role. So now must go it vs last years NFC champs. The Falcons entered their Monday Nighter with the Seahawks on a 1-5 ATS slide, as well as a 2-4 SU run. But Atlanta is 8-1 ATS off Monday games, & Quinn is 8-2 ATS off non-division, vs opponent off a road game.

Pick: Atlanta -9.5


Result: Won
 
Philadelphia  Chicago 

Event Date: 11/26/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

A Dallas/Seattle sandwich for the Eagles. But does it matter? Are now on an 8-0 SU run, as well as a 7-0 ATS skein. A week ago, it was simply stunning how Philly turned a brutal first half war (9-7 deficit) into a 37-9 blowout. Averaging 32 points per game, with Wentz at a brilliant 25 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions. And how about its top-ranked run defense? One of Fox's greatest moments came here in the '03 NFC Title game, when his Panthers upset Reid's Eagles. Bears on 4-1-1 ATS run, but can they slow down the Eagles? Until it changes I say "No"!

Pick: Philadelphia -13.5


Result: Won
 
Washington  New York 

Event Date: 11/23/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Do the Giants own the AFC West elites, coming off their bye weeks, or not? First they took the Broncos, & now the first place Chiefs, picking Smith off twice, while holding him without a touchdown. He entered at a superb 18 touchdowns with only 1 interception, by the way. The end of the Saint/Skin game was very similar to the end of this past Super Bowl? Cousins was 22-of-32 for 322 yards & 3 touchdowns, only to see Washington's 31-16 lead with 3:00 left turn into an overtime loss. Washington 8-1 ATS as NFC favorite of more than 4 points coming off of 2 losses.

Pick: Washington -7


Result: Won
 
Seattle  Atlanta 

Event Date: 11/20/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

This is the moment that this Falcon team has been awaiting. Remember last year's game here, when they didn't call that obvious pass interference, in the final 1:30, when Sherman or Thomas just tackled Julio Jones? But "Legion of Boom" could be without both of these stars vs this dangerous team. Eight sacks vs Dallas, their most since 9 on 10/2/05 vs Minnesota. Seattle's defense shut down Peterson on Thursday, with Wilson 22-of-32 for 238 yards with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions (now 19/6). Atlanta is 9-1 ATS as a road dog off allowing under 8 points, while Seattle is 1-5 ATS off a Thursday game, & also 1-5 ATS vs the NFC South.

Pick: Atlanta +3


Result: Won
 
Minnesota  Los Angeles 

Event Date: 11/19/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

These two could end up playing each other again in January. Rams have won 3 games by 30+ points. In their previous 213 games, they did it 3 times. And this season, they've scored 40+ points 3 times. In their previous 161 games, they managed that just 3 times. So 4 straight wins, & covers, including +42½ points ATS in their last 2 road games. Check Goff with 355 passing yards & 3 touchdowns. Five straight wins for Minnesota (Keenum: 304 passing yards & 4 touchdowns vs Washington). Rams are 12-1 ATS vs .500+ favorites vs an opponent who is off 2+ SU wins.

Pick: Los Angeles +2.5


Result: Loss
 
New York  Kansas City 

Event Date: 11/19/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Well, the visiting streak in Giant games is now by the boards, after NY was done in at San Francisco (Niners' first win). But the other side of that trend is the Giants losing at home (by 30 points ATS hosting the Rams just 2 weeks back). Last week, Eli tied brother Peyton, for the most consecutive starts, with 208. And Manning an efficient 28-of-37, along with 2 touchdown passes, so he now has 14 touchdowns with 6 interceptions for the year. But NY's 30th-ranked defense has now allowed 106 points in its 3-game slide. KC's Smith finally threw his first pick of the year (18 touchdowns with only the 1 interception). Chiefs rested off 1-3 slide, after 5-0 start. Lay it.

Pick: Kansas City -10


Result: Loss
 
New Orleans  Washington 

Event Date: 11/19/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

About time that I stopped going against the Saints, who've won 7 straight games, covering 6 (+104 points ATS). Check averaging 35 points per game in their last 5 contests, while holding 5-of-7 opponents to 13 points or less. Ingram is in off a career-best 3 touchdowns, & 131 rushing yards, with New Orleans finishing with 298 rushing yards & 32 first downs. Right, they never punted in rout of the Bills, scoring 5 times in their first 6 possessions. Redskins have dropped 5-of-6 vs the points, although Cousins had 327 passing yards & 3 touchdowns vs Minnesota, 2 rushing & 1 passing. And they have the Giants & Cowboys on deck. I jump on this rolling train.

Pick: New Orleans -7.5


Result: Loss
 
Dallas  Philadelphia 

Event Date: 11/19/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Wow, these Eagles just keep on doing it. In off their bye. Have outscored opponents, 64-12, in the 1st quarter this year. Check their current 7-0 SU run, covering their last 6 by 64½ points. Wentz, of course, is their trigger, throwing for 23 touchdowns, with only 5 picks. Four touchdown passes vs the Broncos. And get this: he has three 4-touchdown performances in the last 5 weeks. And toss in the fact that Philly ranks #1 in rushing defense. The Cowboys are without "Zeke", although Dak has 25 touchdowns in 50 games, the 2nd fastest to get there, behind only Dan Marino. But this one is an Eagle call.

Pick: Philadelphia -5


Result: Won
 
Cleveland  Jacksonville 

Event Date: 11/19/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Browns' woes continue. Led the Lions, 10-0, early in the game, for their first double-digit lead of the season, but it wasn't to be as Detroit pulled away with 21-0 windup on 3 Stafford touchdown passes. But note Cleveland with a 28-16 first down edge, with 201 rushing yards, and a 34:34-25:26 time edge. Kizer: 232 passing yards with a touchdown and an interception. Jacksonville's Marrone lost here as HC of the Bills in '13, 37-24. Three straight wins for "Sacksonville", on tipped OT FG vs the Chargers, although no touchdowns for Fournette (1st time this year). The Jags are 8-1 ATS vs the AFC North, while the Browns' Jackson is 3-7 ATS as a home dog of 4 or more points.

Pick: Jacksonville -7.5


Result: Won
 
Pittsburgh  Tennessee 

Event Date: 11/16/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Both teams have won 4 straight games. Old hat for the Steelers, but the Titans hadn't done that since '09. And the best start for this franchise, since '08, when they ended up as the #1 seed in the AFC. Check those 27-15 first down & 180-53 rushing yard edges over the Bengals, taking it on a Mariota TD pass in the final 0:36. Pittsburgh has taken 5 in a row in this series, with their current run made possible by a pair of 2nd half touchdown throws from Ben, who has just 12 touchdowns with 10 interceptions for the season. A quirk shows that the Steelers lost their last non-division home game by 28 points ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-game lead in their division. But this one is going to be tight. Take the points.

Pick: Tennessee +7


Result: Loss
 
Denver  New England 

Event Date: 11/12/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Stick a fork in this squad. It doesn't matter if it's Simien, Brock, or Lynch, the Broncos are done. There is only so much that even this defense can do. Were out gained 419-226, & had a first down deficit of 25-14 in unimaginable 51-23 loss to the Eagles. Hadn't allowed 30 points in a game this year, nor any touchdown runs. And things don't get any easier, now catching the defending champs off their bye. Anything else? This defense (still #1) has forced only 7 turnovers all season. Pats on 4-game winning streak, with Tom at 2,541 passing yards & 16 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. And with Gronk fully healthy, not about to buck this squad.

Pick New England -7.5


Result: Won
 
Los Angeles  Houston 

Event Date: 11/12/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

These 2 young & exciting teams looked like they were both heading to the playoffs, prior to Watson's injury, which is a crushing blow, & boy, didn't it show on Sunday vs the Colts. With Deshaun running the offense, Texans set a franchise record by scoring 30 or more points in 5 straight games. But in loss to Indy, nary an offensive TD until the final 6:11. Rams' Goff set career highs with 4 TDs & 311 passing yards in 51-17 rout of the definitely "hapless" Giants. L.A.'s 6-2 start is franchise's best since 2001. Rams are 13-2 ATS as favorites off scoring more than 34 points. Going in opposite directions

Pick: Los Angeles -11.5


Result: Won
 
Indianapolis  Pittsburgh 

Event Date: 11/12/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Twelve years ago, Pitt came in here & shocked the top-seeded Colts in the Divisionals, on the way to a Super Bowl title. Remember Big Ben's tackle after the "Bus" fumbled? Steelers in off a bye, so note winning their last 2 road games by 19-13 & 20-15 scores, covering their last 3 visiting roles. The Colts halted a 3-game skid, in taking the crippled Texans, 20-14, behind 308 passing yards & 2 touchdowns from Brissett, thereby preventing their first 4-game losing streak under Chuck Pagano. Steelers are 5-0 ATS in the 2nd of 2 road games, & 12-1 ATS vs an opponent with double revenge. It's Pittsburgh

Pick: Pittsburgh -10


Result: Loss
 
Detroit  Cleveland 

Event Date: 11/12/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The most obvious edge in this contest is the overwhelming 19-turnover advantage enjoyed by the Lions, who are +7, while the Browns are at -12. It continues. Cleveland now stands 1-24 & 2-31 SU. And note that Brownies have allowed 31 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games, while posting a current spread record of 5-15. This is one of those old school NFL matchups. Back to Jim Brown days when they met for the title. No pick for Cleveland's Kizer vs Vikings (1st time all year). Tight games rule Detroit games, with last 3 home games decided by 4, 3, 5 points SU. Won't be anywhere near that here.

Pick: Detroit -10.5


Result: Won
 
Atlanta  Dallas 

Event Date: 11/12/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Twenty-four years ago, the Cowboys came to Atlanta, & won their 2nd of back-to-back Super Bowls vs the Bills. That game was played in the now extinct Georgia Dome. Anytime the 'Boys take the field this year, the question looms: "Will he play?". Obviously the continuing saga that is Elliott's availability has to take its toll, although you would never know it as Dallas is at 31.7 points per game in their last 6 games. 'Boys looked impressive, holding KC's Hunt to 37 rushing yards (entered at 95.4 yards per game). Falcons in off seeing brilliant WR Jones drop a wide open TD with 8:12 left, & have lost their last 2 home games by 14 & 16 points ATS

Pick: Dallas +3.5


Result: Loss
 
Carolina  Atlanta 

Event Date: 11/05/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Matchup of the last two teams to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Falcons in off snapping 3-game losing streak vs Jets, all to other AFC East teams. So 0-4 ATS to that division. And Ryan had all kinds of trouble with the inclement weather, fumbling 4 snaps, & losing 2 of them. The Panther defense didn't allow a touchdown for the 2nd straight week, helping Carolina snap a 2-game losing streak, putting away its win over Tampa Bay away in the 4th, by intercepting Winston twice. The Falcons have Dallas & Seattle on deck, but note that Atlanta won 33-16 here a year ago. Carolina is 0-5 in division play, when taking on an opponent off a non-division contest.

Pick: Atlanta -133


Result: Loss
 
Dallas  Kansas City 

Event Date: 11/05/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Some pretty cool sidebars here. This will be Romo's first time broadcasting a Cowboys game, while it's Andy Reid's first time back in Dallas since he coached the Eagles back in 2012. By the way, the 'Boys (-10½) won that one, 38-33. Dallas RB Elliott is once again looking pretty dominant, with 147 & 150 rushing yards the past 2 weeks, including a pair of touchdowns in each game. Cowboys blocked a field goal & forced 3 turnovers in win over the Redkins. Dallas seems in the groove

Pick: Dallas -140


Result: Won
 
Miami  Oakland 

Event Date: 11/05/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Raiders have lost for the 5th time in 6 games, so the much awaited return of Carr has resulted in a pulse-stopping win over the Chiefs, & a sloppy, 4 turnover, 34-14 loss to the Bills, with a 166-54 rushing yard deficit. After scoring on their opening drive, the Raiders' next 7 possessions ended with 4 punts, 3 turnovers, & a failed bid to score at the end of the 2nd quarter. The weather in Buffalo was horrendous, but won't be here. Miami in off their 2nd shutout loss in their last 5 games, managing a mere 196 yards, with 3 sacks & 2 picks from Moore. Miami 1-10 ATS off giving up over 34 points. Must win for Raiders.

Pick: Oakland -3


Result: Tie
 
Jacksonville  Cincinnati 

Event Date: 11/05/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Obviously, the Jaguars are at their best when taking to the road, as the visitor is 6-0 both SU & ATS this year. A 4-3 start for Jacksonville, scoring 29, 44, 30, & 27 points in those wins. Are in off a bye, following Bortles season-high 330 yards, which ended a 4-game losing streak at Lucas Oil Stadium. Jags set franchise record with 10 sacks, recording first shutout win since Oct, of '06, with a 518-232 yard edge over Indy. Cincinnati is in off 1-point win over Indy, rushing for just 58 yards vs a team that allowed the Jacksonville to score on their first 4 possessions, just a week earlier. Took Indy thanks to a pick-6 in the final 6:58. Jacksonville is 6-1 ATS off a bye, & Cincinnati is 2-8 vs an opponent who is off a bye.

Pick: Jacksonville -6


Result: Won
 
New York  Los Angeles 

Event Date: 11/05/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The Rams have been a great surprise this season, currently sitting atop the NFC West, with only 1 team (Eagles) having more wins. L.A. has topped 32 points 4 times, behind the vastly improve Quarterbacking of Goff, while Gurley is the perfect complement. A couple of weeks ago, I pegged the Broncos as a near "can't miss" choice, when hosting the Giants' punchless overhead game of NY. But it didn't work out, thanks to Denver's equally inept offense. As noted above, that isn't the case with the Rams. And L.A. is in off its bye week

Pick: Los Angeles -4


Result: Won
 
Buffalo  Oakland 

Event Date: 10/29/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

These 2 met in this very same stadium for the 1990 AFC title, only to see the Bills destroy the Raiders, 51-3, the week before "Wide Right". Raiders snapped 3-game slide with final play TD pass from Carr to Crabtree, on 85-yard drive vs the Chiefs. Carr: 29-of-52 for 417 yards & 3 TDs (no picks). We'll see what happens to BeastMode, after getting tossed for shoving a ref. After all, he did start his career here with the Bills in '07. For Buffalo, this marks just the 4th time that it has won 4 of its first 6 games, during its 17-year playoff drought. Bills 0-7 ATS as single digit favorite in the 2nd of 2 home games

Pick: Oakland +3


Result: Loss
 
Washington  Dallas 

Event Date: 10/29/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Are the 'Boys back? They were in a funk, off a pair of 35-point defensive showings, with Zeke & Dak performing below '16 levels. But check 147 rushing yards (5.7 yards per rush), & 2 TDs from Elliott, along with 219 yards from scrimmage, while Prescott was 3/0 (14/4 for the year), in 40-10 rout of the Niners. And Dez tied Bob Hayes' franchise record with his 71st career TD. The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS vs the Redskins, but they did win by 4 & 5 points SU in their 2 meetings of last year. Washington has allowed 20+ points in 24 of its last 26 games, so this one should provide plenty of fireworks. Cowboys offense getting in gear

Pick: Dallas -125


Result: Won
 
Philadelphia  San Fracisco 

Event Date: 10/29/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Right, I rarely step out with an NFL double digit favorite, & with good reason. However, the Niners just may have run out of weekly squeaking losses, as the Cowboys did more than expose San Francisco, with that 40-10 romper, running for 265 yards, while totalling more than 500 yards. Philly, of course is in off its Monday war with the Redskins, but has only been bested once this season, by the Chiefs. Niners' Beathard was sacked five times in his debut, while losing 2 fumbles. Eagles covered their last HG (prior to Monday Nighter) by 33½ points, while Wentz a comfortable 13/3 entering that one. Eagles' 3rd-ranked offense vs Niners' 28-rated defense. Philly follows in Cowboys' footsteps.

Pick: Philadelphia -12.5


Result: Won
 
Seattle  Houston 

Event Date: 10/29/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Can the Texans make another playoff run, without J.J. Watt again this year? Were smoking hot, before their bye, with a 39.25 points per game average in their last 4 games. Watson continues to amaze, as he has thrown for at least 3 TDs in his last 3 games, becoming the first rookie to perform such a feat in NFL history. Now 15 TD passes, the most by a rookie in his team's first 6 games. Oh, Texans set a franchise record by scoring 30+ points in 4 straight tilts. Seahawks an enigma since blowing that Super Bowl. Did their thing vs the Giants: 7 points, 14 first downs, 46 rushing yards. I'll call for the upset here.

Pick: Houston +7


Result: Won
 
Cleveland  Minnesota 

Event Date: 10/29/2017
Event Time: 9 AM est
Pick: 

Rating; 2 Units

Remember the "Miracle at the Met", when Ahmad Rashad caught Tommy Kramer's "Hail Mary" at the gun to beat the "Kardiac Kids" back in 1980? Check Latavius Murray rushing for 113 yards & a TD while Forbath kicked six FGs in backing another suffocating from the Viking "D" in LW's win over the Ravens. Sacked Flacco 5 times, in allowing just 208 TYs. Keenum 20-of-31, & a pick (5/2 for year). Brown "D" did its part LW, holding Titans to zero TDs, but Cleveland "O" also didn't reach the end zone, losing FG contest, 12-9. Browns 1-23 & 2-30 SU, with a 5-14 spread run. And now they've lost Pro Bowl tackle Joe Thomas. A Viking call.

Pick: Minnesota -10


Result: Won
 
Baltimore  Miami 

Event Date: 10/26/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Two consecutive comeback wins for the Dolphins, who overcame a 17-point deficit in the 2nd half at Atlanta, following that up by erasing a 14-point fourth quarter deficit to beat the Jets, 31-28, this week, with Moore (for injured Cutler) throwing 2 touchdown passes in the final 12 minutes. So 3 straight Miami wins, off that horrid 40-6 combined deficit in their 2nd & 3rd games. Note that the Dolphins hadn't allowed more than 20 points, previously. Two straight losses for the Ravens, & 4 of last 5, after opening at 2-0 (Bengals & Browns). Remember, Dolphins covered their last road game by 16 points, while Ravens are 1-11 ATS vs opposition off a pair of SU/ATS wins. So Miami, as the dog, seems a bit juicy.

Pick: Miami +3


Result: Loss
 
Washington  Philadelphia 

Event Date: 10/23/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

About time I jumped on this smoking squad, which has only a loss at Kansas City, to prevent perfect 6-0 start, although their 5-1 record is the best mark in the NFC. QB Wentz in Thursday win at Carolina had 222 passing yards & 3 touchdowns, so now at 1,584 passing yards & all-important 13 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions. Philadelphia has had Thursday to Monday. An extra 4 days to prepare for this. Peterson is 6-0 ATS at home off a SU win, while Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS on Monday, off a SU win. Consider that the Redskins are 2-9 ATS vs an opponent off a double digit cover. Eagles just keep it going.

Pick: Philadelplhia -5


Result: Won
 
Los Angeles  Arizona 

Event Date: 10/22/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Check "has-been" Peterson's 134 rushing yards & 2 touchdowns in his Arizona debut. That's 47 more yards than the 87 he had in 4 games with the Saints. So 160 Arizona rushing yards, after entering at 52 rushing yards per game. A huge help for Palmer, who completed his first 14 passes vs the Tampa Bay. Rams came in nicely for us last week, but they're 1-11 ATS vs an opponent off SU dog win.

Pick: Arizona +3.5


Result: Loss
 
Green Bay  New Orleans 

Event Date: 10/22/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Packers without Rodgers so they went with Hundley vs Minnesota, but just 10 points, 14 first downs, & 227 yards, & 3 interceptions, about what Aaron would toss over the course of the year. So, what was supposed to be the ultimate QB matchup, is no more. Check running backs Ingram & Kamara combining for 237 yards vs the Lions, while Saint defense forced 5 turn overs, scoring on a fumble return & a pair of pick-sixes. Only 9th time since '92, that neither Favre nor Rodgers will be under center for the Packers.

Pick: New Orleans -4


Result: Won
 
Miami  New York 

Event Date: 10/22/2017
Event Time: 0 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Even though the Jets lost at home to the Pats, that was a game for 60 minutes. Seferian-Jenkins losing control of the ball at the goal line, resulting in a touch back was a stomach punch to the Jets. McCown: 31-of-47 for 354 yards with 2 touchdowns (also 2 interceptions). Dolphins came from 17-0 deficit, for 20-17 win at Atlanta. Remember, this is the team which had just 3 offensive touchdowns coming into that game. Jets are 11-2 ATS vs a .500+ division opponent who is off a pair of SU/ATS wins. Division road dog in this one.

Pick: New York +3.5


Result: Won
 
Indianapolis  Jacksonville 

Event Date: 10/22/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Yes, I know that the host team is 5-0 ATS in Colt games, entering previous Monday Nighter vs Tennessee. The Jags got 130 rushing yards from Fournette, in last week's 27-17 loss to the Rams, when they allowed a pair of special team touchdowns (kick off & blocked punt returns). That one marked Jacksonville's 9th loss in their last 10 home games. Fournette, by the way, scored on a 75-yard run on Jags 1st play from scrimmage. And remember, his previous carry was 90 yarder, that sealed their win at Pittsburgh. Note that Colt home games this year have been decided by 3, 3, & 3 points SU. I'll call for a halt to that trend.

Pick: Jacksonville -3


Result: Won
 
Cleveland  Tennessee 

Event Date: 10/22/2017
Event Time: 0 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The Titans are coming in off their Monday game with the Colts. Browns now on 1-22 & 2-29 SU runs, averaging 13.2 points per game in 13 of their last 14 games, & are currently on a 4-14 ATS slide. Went with Hogan over Kizer vs the Texans: 1 touchdown pass, with 3 interceptions, in 33-17 loss. So Browns win less, with head coach Jackson's record in Cleveland now 1-21 SU. Hogan, by the way, became the Browns' 28th starting QB since 1999, when they had a chance to draft Donovan McNabb, instead of Tim Couch.

Pick: Tennessee -5.5


Result: Loss
 
Eastern Michigan  Western Michigan 

Event Date: 10/21/2017
Event Time: 2 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The Eagles of Eastern Michigan have been one of our pet plays over the past 2 years, & with good reason, as they are now on a 15-3 ATS run, with the dog on a profitable 14-2 spread run. The only reason that this one wasn't placed higher is the fact that, although they keep paying off, they are in off an excruciating 28-27 loss, to Army, failing to convert a 2-point try, in the final 0:49. The Broncos of Western Michigan aren't the same squad as last year, having lost 10 starters (including brilliant QB Terrell), along with their head coach.

Pick: Eastern Michigan +3


Result: Tie
 
Minnesota  Green Bay 

Event Date: 10/15/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

What is it about Aaron Rodgers in Dallas? Once again, the Cowboys gave him too much time (1:18) to answer 11-yard Prescott touchdown run. Aaron marched them 75 yards for the winning touchdown to Adams with only 0:11 left. Three more touchdowns, without a pick, so now with 13 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions for the year. Check five 4th quarter lead changes, in that instant classic. And now Green Bay has a running game, with 125 rushing yards from Rookie Jones. Green Bay is on 13-2 SU run.

Pick: Green Bay -3


Result: Loss
 
Arizona  Tampa Bay 

Event Date: 10/15/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

In Tampa Bay's last 2 games, Nick Folk has missed 5 field goals and a PAT. Last week, Tampa didn't convert on 3rd down until late in the 3rd quarter, & that was against the worst defense in the league. Ariens is 10-3 as a dog of less than 4½ points off a non-division contest.

Pick: Arizona +2 


Result: Won
 
Jacksonville  Los Angeles 

Event Date: 10/15/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Would you believe that this is just the 2nd home game for the Jaguars. Jacksonville comes in off their first win over the Steelers in 10 years, picking off Big Ben 5 times, & sacking him twice. Check 181 rushing yards & 2 touchdowns from Fournette. Jags are over .500 after five games for the first time since 2010, & have already matched their victory total from 2016. Jacksonville has 15 takeaways this season, after NFL-low 13 last year. Rams WR Kupp barely missed a diving touchdown grab that would have beaten Seattle. However, the Rams are 2-10 ATS the L12.

Pick: Jacksonville -1


Result: Loss
 
Houston  Cleveland 

Event Date: 10/15/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Of course, the main sidebar to this one is, once again, the Texans' loss of Watt (broken leg), & ensuing 42-34 loss to the Chiefs. No, not a win, but, if you can believe it, another five touchdown passes from Watson, who now has 9 passing & 1 rushing touchdowns in the past 2 weeks. Browns are still seeking QB answers, after passing on Osweiler. Kizer benched for Hogan, after he threw his 9th pick of the year. So another loss (21st in last 22 games, & 28th in last 30). Third straight home game for Houston, & note O'Brien a 7-1 ATS home favorite record if off a SU loss, & 13-2 ATS as favorite against an opponent who is off non-division.

Pick: Houston -8.5


Result: Won
 
Denver  New York 

Event Date: 10/15/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Bronco defense continues to impress, holding Beast Mode to 12 yards on 9 carries. That unit has completely dominated Lynch, Melvin Gordon, Ezekiel Elliott, & LeSean McCoy. Those 4 Pro Bowl backs have a combined 95 yards on 50 carries. And Denver hasn't allowed a 1st quarter point all year. Eight years ago, on Thanksgiving Night, Josh McDaniels & the boys crushed the Giants, 26-6, as 5-point dogs. For the winless Giants, note that they have only 2 rushing touchdowns all season, hadn't scored in the first quarter, before those 9 points vs the Chargers. Bronco Defense just smothers the 31st in the league in rushing offense.

Pick: Denver -10.5


Result: Loss
 
Carolina  Philadelphia 

Event Date: 10/12/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Wentz is in off career-best 4 touchdowns in rout of the Cards, including 3 scoring passes on 3 consecutive attempts in the 1st quarter. He was 11-for-12 for 225 yards & 3 touchdowns on 3rd down conversions. Panthers got it together, after falling behind Lions, 10-3, with 24 consecutive points, behind Cam (26-of-33 for 335 yards, & 3 touchdowns with 0 interceptions and now has 8 touchdowns with 5 interceptions for the year. Rivera is 11-0 ATS vs a non-division foe off a double digit cover, & 8-1 ATS as a home favorite vs an opponent of a SU/ATS win.

Pick: Carolina -3


Result: Loss
 
Chicago  Minnesota 

Event Date: 10/09/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Four turnovers did the Bears in against the Packers. Natives getting restless, so No. 2 overall pick, QB Trubisky will get the nod this week, as Glennon has been horrible (4 touchdowns, 5 interceptions, 8 sacks, with Chicago running game sitting at #27). As far as the Vikings are concerned, Sam Bradford can't come back quick enough, as Minnesota had a 36:27-23:33 time deficit in home loss to Detroit. Their defense did sack Stafford 6 times, but they have lost running back Cook. Minnesota is 1-7 ATS as division road favorites off a SU/ATS loss, & 0-10 as road favorites off a SU favorite loss. Monday home division dog.

Pick: Chicago +4


Result: Won
 
Houston  Kansas City 

Event Date: 10/08/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

What has happened to the Texans? Obviously 57 points (vs the Titans) is a franchise record. Scored touchdowns on their first 3 possessions, as simply put, Deshaun Watson is the epitome of a "winner". In just his 3rd NFL start, he threw for 4 touchdowns, & ran for another, in becoming the first rookie to throw for four touchdowns & run for another one, since '61, when it was done by Fran Tarkenton. Last week they had a 33-9 first down, 173-86 rushing yard, & 445-195 total yard edges, in 43-point win. I still can't get image of Kansas City coming in here in the 2015 Wild Card & destroying the Texans, 30-0, out of my heads. This one is a Kansas City call.

Pick: Kansas City +1


Result: Won
 
Detroit  Carolina 

Event Date: 10/08/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Huge division win for the Lions last week, after that heartbreaking loss to the Falcons in week 3. They forced 3 more turnovers (NFL best +9 in that department) & held the Vikings scoreless in the 2nd half. For the Panthers, Cam became the 1st QB in NFL history to rush for 50 touchdowns & Stewart became the all-time franchise rushing leader in that win over New England last week. Newton was also a nice 22-for-29 in that win. The Panthers are on a 4-0 run away from home (15 & 12 point covers in that setup this year). But Caldwell is a brilliant 12-2 ATS vs a non-division opponent, that is in off a double digit non-division cover

Pick: Detroit -2.5


Result: Loss
 
Cincinnati  Buffalo 

Event Date: 10/08/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

What a win for the Bills last week in Atlanta, despite 25-15 first down & 391-281 yard deficits. That top-ranked scoring defense took it to a Falcon team that was averaging 29 points per game, & in off a 26 first down, 428-yard effort vs the Lions. How about that 4th quarter, 19-play drive for Buffalo, which lasted 11 minutes & 20 seconds. And Bills have gone team-record 15 straight quarters without a turnover. Check Dalton last week, with 25-of-30 for 4 touchdowns vs hapless Browns (3 in the 1st half). Bengals averaging just 4.5 points per game in their first 2 home games this year.

Pick: Buffalo +3.5


Result: Loss
 
New York  Los Angeles 

Event Date: 10/08/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Eli was impressive with 2 touchdowns & no interceptions (now 6-4 for the year, & 70%). Chargers' Rivers started his 180th consecutive game (4th longest streak of all time, 117 behind Favre), while throwing for 2 touchdowns & 347 yards. But frustration continues, with with the Chargers who now have lost 9 straight games (first 0-4 start since '03), with 2 missed field goals at the gun costing them 2 wins this year. L.A. is 5-0 ATS as a road dog of  more than 2 points, and the visitor is 22-8 ATS in Charger games.

Pick: Los Angeles +3.5


Result: Won
 
Pittsburgh  Jacksonville 

Event Date: 10/08/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Jags came here 10 years ago, with Jack DelRio, & beat the Steelers, 31-29, in the Wild Card playoff round. Another dominating performance for Bell (144 rushing yards & 2 touchdowns) & Co, in Steelers 26-9 rout of Baltimore. Pitt's 1st drive of the game ate up more than 10 minutes & pretty much set the tone for the game. Surprisingly enough, the Jags lead this series, 12-11. Brutal loss for Marrone & Co in Jacksonville loss to the Jets, as the winning touchdown pass was wiped out by a holding call. Marrone is 12-1 ATS off a straight up loss, facing an opponent off a straight up win. This is a Baltimore/Kansas City sandwich for Pittsburgh.

Pick: Jacksonville +8


Result: Won
 
Baltimore  Pittsburgh 

Event Date: 10/01/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Perhaps no other rivalry compares with this one, as nothing is left on the field when they go to war. The Ravens are in off an embarrassing 44-7 loss to the Jags (in London), with a 410-186 yard deficit, in a game that was definitely a "trap". As a matter of fact, Baltimore trailed 44-0, until pushing across a touchdown in the final 3:24. The Ravens are 4-0-1 ATS in this series, covering their last 3 as hosts by 17½, 13, & 9 points. Note Pittsburgh's 220-70 rushing yard deficit in its trip to Chicago. I'll take the Ravens yet again

Pick: Baltimore +3


Result: Loss
 
Houston  Tennessee 

Event Date: 10/01/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Tennessee seems poised to take control of the division with an offense ranked fifth in total yards and sixth in scoring, averaging 28.7 points following last weeks 33-27 victory over Seattle. DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry have been a solid combo in the backfield with both averaging over five yards a carry with a rushing score. Rishard Matthews has become a threat at wideout, leading the team with 201 receiving yards, while tight end Delanie Walker is tops with 15 receptions.

Pick: Tennessee -130


Result: Won
 
Denver  Oakland 

Event Date: 10/01/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

From a 27½ point cover, to a 13-point ATS loss. That's the Broncos over the last 2 weeks, as they routed the Cowboy, but could not handle the Bills, although they did have a 94-yard edge over Buffalo. Check QB Siemian with a 4 touchdown and 0 interceptions display vs Dallas, but no touchdowns with 2 interceptions vs Buffalo. Last year, Denver won 24-6 here, although Oakland didn't have Carr. Broncos are 1-10 ATS as division home dog off a non-division game, vs an opponent off a double digit SU loss. However, more importantly Denver is 2-13 ATS as a division home favorite vs an opponent who is off a SU loss. AFC West road dog comes in again!

Pick: Oakland +3


Result: Loss
 
Seattle  Indianapolis 

Event Date: 10/01/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Unit NFL Free Pick

The Seahawks have never been the same, after blowing the Super Bowl, with the single worst play calling ever. That being the case, the Colts may have a legitimate shot at the upset here. They sure would, with a healthy Luck. But that's not the case. Indianapolis lost its last road game by 32½ points, and Seattle's Wilson is in off a 373 yard, 4 touchdown 0 interception game. This one will be over early.

Free Pick: Seattle -13


Result: Won
 
Los Angeles  Philadelphia 

Event Date: 10/01/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

What we have here, is a squad which is not only on an 0-9-1 ATS slide, but also on a 1-9 SU run. Thus, the torture continues. In last week's loss to the Chiefs, Charger QB Rivers was a horrid no touchdown with 3 interceptions, so he is now 4 touchdowns with 4 interceptions for the season. And that one pushed the visiting edge in Charger games to 21-8-2 ATS. Seems the Eagles are constantly putting up nice numbers: 193 rushing yards vs the Giants last week, for example. And the Chargers come in at #26 in containing the run. The only way to go

Pick: Philadelphia +2


Result: Won
 
New York  Jacksonville 

Event Date: 10/01/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Jets are off the schneid, with last week's upset of the Dolphins, a 20-point cover, behind McCown's nice 18-of-23 day. And also covered their previous home game by 16½ points However, New York is still in the middle of an 8-19-1 ATS run. The Jags have played their best ball away from home, with opening day rout of Houston: 27-point cover, & last week's 44-7 win over Baltimore: 40-point cover. Bortles: had 4 touchdowns last week, & 410-186 yard edge.

Pick: Jacksonville -3


Result: Loss
 
Green Bay  Chicago 

Event Date: 09/28/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Bears put up 220 rushing yards vs Pittsburgh's 74 rushing yards per game defense, behind the thrusts of Howard & Cohen (138 & 78 rushing yards, respectfully), topped off by Howard's 19-yard touchdown run in OT. So, the Bears are on a 4-1-2 run at home. Packers came back from a 21-7 deficit vs the Bengals, but caught Cincinnati in the final 0:17 (Rodgers pass), & took it in OT. Seems little breathing room in the NFL, with game-after-game going to the wire. Chicago is just 3-10 ATS against the Packers, as well as 2-12 before taking on the Vikings.

Pick: Green Bay -6.5


Result: Won
 
Washington  Oakland 

Event Date: 09/24/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Was it really 34 years ago, that these 2 met in Super Bowl XVIII? Raiders, 38-9. The return of Carr already paying dividends, with a pair of solid wins, covering by 13½ & 11 points. Last week, Crabtree was the recipient of all 3 of Derek's scoring tosses. He stands at a nice 5 touchdowns with no interceptions and 492 passing yards for the season, and let's not forget that he trailed only Matt Ryan in last year's NFL QB ratings. Washington has allowed 20 or more points in 21-of-23 games, and don't figure to contain this opponent. Home or away, it's the Raiders.

Pick: Oakland -3


Result: Loss
 
San Diego  Kansas City 

Event Date: 09/24/2017
Event Time: 4 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The visitor is on a 46-15 ATS run in Kansas City games, while the guest is 20-8-2 ATS in Charger contests. Chiefs are on an 11-3 SU run, with their only misses coming by 2, 2, 2 points. Check Smith now at 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions and 78%, with 229 rushing yards from Hunt (7.6 yards per rush). And note KC posting 5 touchdowns in the 4th quarter of their 2 games. Chargers are on an 0-8-1 ATS run, as well as on a tragic 1-13 SU run, while allowing more than 25 points in 12 of their last 18 games. Chiefs all the way!

Pick: Kansas City -3


Result: Won
 
Indianapolis  Cleveland 

Event Date: 09/24/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

First chalk or even role for Browns since they took the Niners, 24-10, as 2-point favorites on 12/13/15, & first road favorite designation since being routed by Jacksonville, 24-6 on 10/19/14. Seems foolish, in light of the fact that Cleveland now stands at 1-18 & 2-25 SU. And check allowing 8, 33, 27, 29, 30, 31, 28, 31, & 24 points in their last 9 road game. However, the Colts, despite their near upset of the Cards, are -29½ points ATS in their last 6 home games. Cleveland is 8-0 ATS in September off a pair of losses vs an opponent off a SU loss.

Pick: Cleveland - Pickem


Result: Loss
 
San Francisco  Los Angeles 

Event Date: 09/21/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

I know that the Niners took the measure of the Rams here, the last 2 years, including that 28-0 blowout last year (30½ point cover). However, San Francisco burning up the scoreboard to the tune of 6 points per game so far, although finally got some rushing (Hyde: 124 yards, 8.3 yards per rush) in last week's loss to Seattle. Rams obviously improved, & are 6-1 ATS as favorites vs opponents off consecutive losses. Niners 2-13 ATS if less than .500, & taking on division opponent that is in off a SU home loss. And San Franvisco is a near-perfect 1-6 ATS on Thursdays.

Pick: Los Angeles -2.5


Result: Loss
 
Indianapolis  Arizona 

Event Date: 09/17/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Bruce Arians returns to Indianapolis, where he filled in for Chuck Pagano for 12 games in 2012. Is there a worse team than these Colts without Luck? Well, they did manage to post 9 points (3 field goals), and 10 first downs vs the Rams, in last week's 46-9 slaughter, as Tolzien & Brissett threw for a combined 150 yards. But Indianapolis is home. Forget it. Indianapolis stands at -33 pts ATS in their last 5 home games. Four turn overs did the Cards in in loss to Lions. But not here

Pick: Arzona -6.5


Result: Loss
 
Kansas City  Philadelphia 

Event Date: 09/17/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

The Chiefs, & new-found explosiveness, really put it to the champion Patriots in that NFL Thursday Night opener, with a 21-0 4th-quarter edge, as QB Smith never looked better (80%, 368 yards, & 4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions), including huge backbreaking plays. A definite entrant in the brass ring chase. But don't dismiss the Eagles, based on last year's quick start, poor finish season. QB Wentz has a year's experience, which is invaluable. The visitor in Kansas City games is on an incredible 46-14 spread run, with extra tight games being the rule. We take the points.

Pick: Philadelphia +6


Result: Loss
 
Baltimore  Cleveland 

Event Date: 09/17/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

A year ago, the host Ravens took the Browns, to the tune of 28-7. Their defense was superb in white-washing Cincinnati, holding the Bengals just 77 rushing yards, & forcing 5 turn overs. Two Baltimore touchdowns over a 24-second span of the 2nd pretty much put  that one away. Despite that one, note that the home team is 9-3 ATS in Raven games, while they're +46 points ATS in their last 5 home games. The Browns allowed 29, 30, 31, 28, 31, 28, 33, & 27 points in their road games last year. And they're scoring 13.8 points per game in L9 games.

Pick: Baltimore -7.5


Result: Won
 
Jacksonville  Tennessee 

Event Date: 09/17/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Quite a start for both HC Marrone, & RB Fournette. Jacksonville has had the Titans' number, covering 9-of-12, & that includes 5 straight as the home team in this series. Last year it was 38-17. As noted above, the Jaguars took full advantage of that 4-0 turn over edge, for their 29-7 upset of Houston (27-point cover), with 155-93 rushing yard edge. Just 16 points for the Titans last week, but they are still averaging 25.3 points per game in their last 14 games. Tennessee is just 2-13 ATS with a less then .500 record with revenge, & off a non-division contest. Jags keep it up.

Pick: Jacksonville +1


Result: Loss
 
Cincinnati  Houston 

Event Date: 09/14/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

These 2 met in the playoffs in both '11 & '12. Talk about self destruction. They both enter this off minus 4 turnover margins on opening week. Bengal QB Dalton had it the worst, tying a career-high with 4 interceptions, along with a forced fumble. Cincinnati is on a 5-11-2 ATS run, as well as 6-11-1 SU. And check an 80-rushing yard deficit vs the Ravens. Texans: 4-0 TO deficit, to go along with a franchise record 10 sacks. Houston is 8-1 ATS in Sept off a SU/ATS loss, while Bengals are 0-5 ATS as favorites of less than 7 points off a double digit ATS loss. Texans all the way!

Pick: Houston +6.5


Result: Won
 
Minnesota  New Orleans 

Event Date: 09/11/2017
Event Time: 7 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Well, Adrian Peterson is back in Minneapolis, but this time as a Saint. His addition just enhances New Orleans running game, when added to the talents of RBs Ingram & Kamara. Nice, but the possibility of a bit of friction has to be considered. The Saints are a premier road team, with their current 8-1-1 ATS run as NFL travelers (only miss by just 3 points). And throw in the fact that the dog is on an 18-6-1 spread streak in Saint contests. Minnesota's running game is actually stronger than last year, as rookie RB Dalvin Cook is the real deal. Minnesota is on a 3-8 SU slide, so Saints are the play.

Pick: New Orleans +3.5


Result: Loss
 
Washington  Philadelphia 

Event Date: 09/10/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Wentz set a franchise record with 379 completions last season, a total which ranked as the most by a rookie in NFL history. The 24-year-old endured significant troubles in two games versus Washington last year as he was sacked nine times. Veteran running back Darren Sproles reeled in 52 receptions in 2016 to notch his eighth consecutive season with 40-plus catches, although he had just three for 17 yards in two meetings with the Redskins. Cousins also has versatile - and oft-injured - tight end Jordan Reed as well as speedy slot receiver Jamison Crowder (career-high 67 receptions) as aerial weapons. Second-year back Rob Kelley is expected to lead a young backfield that includes Chris Thompson and rookie Samaje Perine. While Washington boasted the league's third-ranked offense last year (403.4 yards per game), the defense was often quick to yield field position by surrendering 377.9 yards per contest. Linebacker Ryan Kerrigan registered a double-digit sack total for the second time in his career with 11 in 2016, with 3.5 coming against Philadelphia.

Pick: Washington +1


Result: Loss
 
Dallas  New York 

Event Date: 09/10/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

For the 5th time in 6 years, these 2 square off on Sunday Night Football to start the season. The Giants have had the best of it of late, covering 5 straight vs the Cowboys, with Dallas just 2-6 ATS when hosting New York. The last time we saw the Cowboys, Aaron broke their hearts in last year's Divisional game. The Cowboys QB Prescott returns (NFL's 3rd-ranked passer), but will he be as effective in his sophomore year? Giant defense returns intact, although Eli may not have Odell (ankle). To wire in this one so take the points.

Pick: New York +4.5


Result: Loss
 
Tennessee  Oakland 

Event Date: 09/10/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Sorry, Atlanta, but no team enters this season with a larger chip on its shoulder, than do these Raiders, who lost MVP candidate, QB Derek Carr, to a broken leg in their final game. He sure can put points on the board, reaching 30+ points 8 times, & being held under 27 points in just 4 games. And how about the addition of Marshawn Lynch? Titans also on the upswing, coming from 2-14 & 3-13 campaigns, to last year's 9-7 log, with Mariota coming into his own. However, note Tennessee is 2-11 ATS hosting AFC West.

Pick: Oakland +3


Result: Won
 
Detroit  Arizona 

Event Date: 09/10/2017
Event Time: 1 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

This may come as a surprise, but Detroit has made the playoffs 2 of the last 3 seasons. So time to give Caldwell, Stafford, & teammates their due credit. Coincidentally, the Cards failed to make the preseason last year, after back-to-back post-season runs in '14 & '15. Last year, the Lions had a run, in which they held 6 straight opponents under 20 points, while the Cards were the opposite, allowing 30.8 points per game over an 8-game span, covering just 2 of those 8. The return of RB Abdullah is a huge plus for the Lions (played just 2 games in '16), & note that Detroit is 4-1 ATS as the series host. Take the points.

Pick: Detroit +2.5


Result: Won
 
New England  Kansas City 

Event Date: 09/07/2017
Event Time: 8 PM est
Pick: 

Rating: 2 Units

Line opened at New England minus 8, and is now between -8.5 and minus 9 depending on where you bet. Sure, the Chiefs, especially under Reid, have emerged as a premier squad, accumulating a combined record of 44-24, including 10-8 ATS as road underdogs. The latter record seems to undercut the fact that many an "expert" is of the feeling that KC is a highly profitable play in that setup. The Patriots just continue on. One lone SU win in the preseason, which means nothing. Try covering their last 8, while crushing opponents to a 16-3 ATS mark. Super Bowl winners golden in openers.

Pick: New England -9


Result: Loss

Win:48 Losses:52 Tie:4

 

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